Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +21 (73-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Jolivette * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Charles Hinkle * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| John Schoof * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Wayne Simon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bersch | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joe Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Warren Flood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Kager | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| James Bell * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Dominic Cheek * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Sutton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter