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2011-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shurna * 40 6-14 4-6 2-2 9 6 3 1 2 18 21 -
D. Sobolewski * 35 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 8 1 0 0 2 12 -
D. Crawford * 31 13-17 3-4 5-5 1 0 1 0 2 34 17 -
R. Hearn * 22 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 0 -
L. Mirkovic * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
D. Curletti 21 4-6 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
A. Marcotullio 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Cobb 15 3-8 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 9 1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young * 38 5-13 1-3 2-4 1 7 1 0 1 13 8 -
G. Gibbs * 35 0-2 0-0 3-4 8 12 1 0 4 3 18 -
J. Manigat * 33 3-7 3-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
D. McDermott * 28 10-14 3-5 4-4 5 5 0 0 1 27 22 -
G. Echenique * 23 5-8 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 0 4 11 7 -
E. Wragge 26 3-6 3-6 1-1 4 2 1 0 1 10 10 -
J. Jones 10 2-2 2-2 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
W. Artino 4 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
A. Chatman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Dingman 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter