Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| B. Paul * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Maniscalco * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 28 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Abrams | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Head | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Egwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. English * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Pressey * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Denmon * | 31 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Pressey * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Ratliffe * | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Dixon Jr. | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Moore | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter