Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Cochran * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tom Droney * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - |
| De'Mon Brooks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 28 | - |
| J.P. Kuhlman * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jake Cohen * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Kalinoski | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Clint Mann | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Chris Czerapowicz | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Reigel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Ben-Eze | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Carter * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | - |
| C. Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| R. Putney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Farrell | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Esho | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| F. Riley | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter