Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sanders * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| D. Needham * | 34 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Olander * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Barrow * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Wade * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Crawford | 19 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Fields | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabazz Napier * | 38 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 38 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Roscoe Smith * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Boatright | 27 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter