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2011-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% - โœ—
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 โœ— (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—

Actual: George Mason Patriots -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. McConnell 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 12 20 -
Mamadou Datt 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 8 16 -
Eric Evans 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 12 17 -
B.J. Monteiro 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 4 2 3 11 22 -
Mike Talley 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 7 7 -
Sean Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 14 14 -
Kadeem Pantophlet 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Andre Marhold 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Vaughns 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 13 16 -
B. Allen 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 7 8 8 -
M. Morrison 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 3 6 14 -
R. Pearson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 13 21 -
A. Cornelius 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 11 14 -
S. Wright 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 7 9 -
J. Arledge 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 8 -
E. Copes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 0 0 5 -
C. Edwards 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -

* = starter