Model Predictions
| Model | Seton Hall Pirates | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -5 (64-69). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Seton Hall Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Theodore * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Fuquan Edwin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Patrik Auda * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Aaron Cosby * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Herb Pope * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 30 | - |
| Haralds Karlis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Geramipoor | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Freddie Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Mobley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sean Grennan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Josh Parker | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter