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Cal Poly Mustangs 58
@
DePaul Blue Demons 63
2011-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - ✓
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 ✓ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% - ✗
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% - ✓

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fermin * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 8 1 0 1 11 21 -
D. Hanson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 1 13 24 -
D. Royer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
D. U'u * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 7 14 -
W. Taylor * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 11 21 -
W. Donahue 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
M. Love 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Eversley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Titchenal 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Odister 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Young * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 16 25 -
C. Melvin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 16 26 -
J. Kelly * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 5 12 -
K. Faber * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 6 16 -
J. Crockett * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 10 14 -
M. Morgan 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 3 7 -
W. Clahar 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
C. McKinney 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 1 6 -
D. Kirk 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 4 1 0 7 -

* = starter