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2011-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Spread Result
Elo 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“
Margin 92.6% 7.4% -13.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.7% 5.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“

Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Glass 29 5-11 1-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 11 9 -
Four McGlynn 29 5-10 3-6 0-1 2 3 2 0 2 13 8 -
Sandro Carissimo 28 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 8 6 -
Brian Voelkel 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 6 3 0 2 0 13 -
Brendan Bald 24 4-11 1-7 4-4 1 0 1 0 2 13 2 -
Luke Apfeld 18 3-8 0-0 8-8 2 0 0 0 0 14 8 -
Ben Crenca 15 2-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Clancy Rugg 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Josh Elbaum 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
Pat Bergmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan McKeaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Santo 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Hayes 38 2-7 0-2 2-4 4 5 4 0 6 6 6 -
Melquan Bolding 38 5-15 2-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 12 -4 -
George Goode 31 3-7 0-0 5-6 4 1 0 3 2 11 10 -
Briahn Smith 31 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 0 -1 -
Mouhamed Lo 24 3-6 0-0 5-5 6 2 1 0 3 11 11 -
Kinu Rochford 21 6-7 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 1 2 13 12 -
Lonnie Robinson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Mathias Seilund 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dylan Moody 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter