Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Covan Brown * | 37 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Holmes * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Julien Lewis * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Myck Kabongo * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | - |
| S. Mac | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sterling Gibbs | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Bond | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| John Henson * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Justin Watts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| David Dupont | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter