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2011-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 โœ— (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—

Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle O'Quinn * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 5 5 16 28 -
Pendarvis Williams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 4 17 23 -
Chris McEachin * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 15 19 -
Rodney McCauley * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 6 14 -
Marcos Tamares * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Rob Johnson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
Quasim Pugh 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 10 13 -
Jamel Fuentes 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 1 5 -
Brandon Wheeless 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A.J. Rogers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pearson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 16 27 -
D. Buckley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 3 9 14 -
J. Brown * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 2 4 9 -
R. Holliday * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 11 11 -
M. Smith * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
C. Dennis 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 20 27 -
D. Dear 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
R. Majerle 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter