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2011-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Robert Morris Colonials Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“

Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +10 (64-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrion Pellum * 34 4-12 1-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 11 1 -
David Bruce * 31 6-8 0-0 4-7 13 0 0 3 3 16 21 -
Mike Tuitt * 28 3-8 1-3 0-2 2 6 0 0 1 7 6 -
Jasper Williams * 25 1-9 0-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 -4 -
Orin O'Bryant * 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 1 2 2 1 1 10 -
Christopher Tolson 24 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 9 4 -
Danny Agbelese 20 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 1 5 6 -
Aaron Austin 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Emmanuel Okoroba 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Milade Lola-Charles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Wesley Dunning 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Velton Jones * 32 7-16 3-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 18 5 -
Mike McFadden * 32 3-9 0-0 5-8 4 0 2 1 6 11 3 -
Coron Williams * 32 3-9 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Lawrence Bridges * 26 0-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 0 5 -
Russell Johnson * 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Lucky Jones 30 3-8 1-2 9-10 9 2 0 0 2 16 17 -
A. Myers-Pate 19 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 6 10 -
Keith Armstrong 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Brandon Herman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter