Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Will Neighbour * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Taggart Lockhart * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Ben Dillard * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Courtney Jackson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Guy | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Lawton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Michael Javes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Fondren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Trey Blue | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter