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Butler Bulldogs 55
@
Gonzaga Bulldogs 71
2011-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% - ✓
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 17.7% 82.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% - ✓

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 7 16 -
J. Aldridge * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 3 -
E. Fromm * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 16 18 -
R. Nored * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 5 13 -
K. Marshall * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
A. Smith 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
C. Stigall 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 6 -
K. Woods 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 8 17 -
C. Hopkins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 19 23 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 9 11 -
E. Harris * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 19 28 -
R. Sacre * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 2 2 10 -
M. Hart * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 8 -
S. Dower 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 9 16 -
D. Stockton 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 5 9 -
G. Edi 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
M. Carter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter