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2011-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Belmont Bruins Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.7 โœ— (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—

Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kerron Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 18 22 -
Ian Clark * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 12 17 -
Mick Hedgepeth * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 10 15 -
Scott Saunders * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 17 25 -
Drew Hanlen * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 2 9 -
Brandon Baker 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 14 23 -
J.J. Mann 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 11 14 -
Adam Barnes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
Blake Jenkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Reece Chamberlain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pitts * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 11 1 0 5 19 31 -
D. Tinnon * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 2 2 24 36 -
D. Kane * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 29 38 -
R. Goff * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 7 14 -
J. Coleman * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
S. Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 10 -
D. Pena 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
N. Spikes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Y. Mbao 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter