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2011-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Kansas City Roos Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 1.4% 98.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +35 (89-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas City Roos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Staton * 27 1-6 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 4 0 -
N. Rogers * 25 2-5 0-1 0-1 6 3 1 0 2 4 7 -
R. Chamberlain * 24 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Dibble * 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
K. Korver * 21 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
T. Hall 23 5-10 1-3 5-8 1 0 2 0 1 16 8 -
E. Tyler 19 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 4 4 -
M. Gholston Jr. 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
F. Chatmon 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
B. Reid 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. Mason 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 28 4-9 0-2 2-5 11 6 0 0 1 10 17 -
Keith Appling * 24 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 8 3 1 2 7 13 -
Brandon Wood * 24 6-6 4-4 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 16 16 -
Adreian Payne * 20 3-3 0-0 5-8 2 0 0 1 1 11 10 -
Branden Dawson * 20 8-12 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 2 1 16 13 -
Travis Trice 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
Austin Thornton 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Derrick Nix 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 6 8 -
Alex Gauna 11 3-5 0-0 2-6 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Russell Byrd 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 3 1 -
Brandan Kearney 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Anthony Ianni 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Keenan Wetzel 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Colby Wollenman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dan Chapman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joe Sweeny 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter