Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Steven Shepp * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jerry Brown * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Wills * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Foster | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. McGaughey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Drew Wiley * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter