Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +20 (70-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Nunnally | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaime Serna | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nate Garth | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lewis Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alan Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Christian Peterson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Cobbs | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| David Kravish | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Harper Kamp | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Emerson Murray | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Bak Bak | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Powers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter