Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | +1.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +9 (86-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Allen * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 34 | - |
| Kendrick Perry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Ashen Ward * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 27 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Fletcher Larson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nate Perry | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cale Zuiker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DJ Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Podolsky | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian Pearson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Dominique Buckley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Reese Holliday * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Curtis Dennis | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Delino Dear | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Majerle | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter