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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 โœ“ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maalik Wayns * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 19 25 -
James Bell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 5 10 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 5 8 -
Dominic Cheek * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Darrun Hilliard 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 0 8 18 -
Tyrone Johnson 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 6 9 -
Markus Kennedy 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 15 -
Maurice Sutton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ash Yacoubou 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carl Jones * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 15 23 -
C.J. Aiken * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 4 2 11 21 -
Langston Galloway * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 20 30 -
Halil Kanacevic * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 2 5 13 -
Daryus Quarles * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Chris Wilson 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 3 14 -
Ronald Roberts 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 12 20 -
Papa Ndao 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
Taylor Trevisan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Evan Maschmeyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Ryan Hess 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter