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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“
Margin 82.8% 17.2% -8.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derek Selvig * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 3 1 15 31 -
Kareem Jamar * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 1 0 15 27 -
Will Cherry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 3 0 3 20 33 -
Art Steward * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
Mathias Ward * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Shawn Stockton 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
Billy Reader 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Wood 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Keron DeShields 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Gregory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Eric Hutchison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Eric Hutchison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 14 20 -
D. Rodgers * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 6 11 -
K. Bailey * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 1 7 13 -
T. van der Mars * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 5 10 -
T. Riley * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Mitrovic 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 11 11 -
T. Douglas 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 18 24 -
D. Cason 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 2 13 -
E. Waterford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Bailey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Carr 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Thieleke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter