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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrion Pellum * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 6 10 -
David Bruce * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 3 20 28 -
Emmanuel Okoroba * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
Wesley Dunning * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jasper Williams 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
Mike Tuitt 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 14 16 -
Christopher Tolson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 9 10 -
Danny Agbelese 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
Orin O'Bryant 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 0 5 -
Aaron Austin 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanders * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 9 1 0 3 22 36 -
A. Burrus * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 12 20 -
T. Speaks * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 1 1 12 21 -
J. Sanders * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 14 22 -
Player #52169 * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Gielo 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 9 11 -
E. Layer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Phillips 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Player #60885 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter