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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Denver Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Pioneers +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Drmic * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 14 19 -
Jeff Elorriaga * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 4 2 5 -
Westly Perryman * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 12 23 -
Thomas Bropleh * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 3 -
Ryan Watkins * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 6 7 -
Derrick Marks 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 13 17 -
Kenny Buckner 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 11 14 -
Drew Wiley 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Joe Hanstad 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jarrell Crayton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Olson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 2 3 11 -
B. Stafford * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 18 23 -
C. Hallam * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 9 14 -
C. Udofia * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 17 22 -
R. Lewis * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 10 15 -
R. O'Neale 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 4 9 -
T. Hallam 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 7 11 -
J. Coughlin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 11 14 -
B. Foeman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Pickert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter