Model Predictions
| Model | Florida International Panthers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +21 (61-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida International Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Ferguson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Jeremy Allen * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Phil Taylor * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gilles Dierickx * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tola Akomolafe * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Richaud Pack | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Moore | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deric Hill | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Bell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tanner Wozniak | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Josh Parker | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch Asmus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter