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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Old Dominion Monarchs UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Old Dominion Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kent Bazemore * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 16 20 -
Nick Wright * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 7 -
Trian Iliadis * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
Marquel De Lancey * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 9 14 -
Chris Cooper * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 2 1 0 13 -
Dimitri Batten 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 12 18 -
Donte Hill 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
Richard Ross 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 6 10 -
Player #56249 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Anton Larsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Jordan * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 17 20 -
Keith Clanton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 1 2 4 1 23 45 -
P.J. Gaynor * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Isaiah Sykes * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Josh Crittle * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tristan Spurlock 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 8 13 -
Jeff Jordan 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 0 6 -
Dwight McCombs 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 6 7 -
Rod Days 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kasey Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter