Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -16 (48-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Maniscalco * | 35 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 33 | 6-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul * | 25 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Head | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Abrams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Egwu | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Shaw | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter