Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -16 (48-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Moser * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| K. Wallace | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Maniscalco * | 35 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 33 | 6-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul * | 25 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Head | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Abrams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Egwu | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Shaw | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter