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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +18.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons +19 (81-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Savalance Townsend * 37 8-13 1-3 6-9 5 2 4 0 7 23 14 -
Mitchell Anderson * 36 6-15 0-6 2-5 11 2 0 2 3 14 11 -
Daniel Broughton * 31 7-17 0-1 4-5 11 1 0 0 1 18 12 -
Jamar Harris * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -3 -
Clay Johnson 30 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 5 2 1 4 2 8 -
Rontrell Bailey 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Lavoris Weathers 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Lazabian Jackson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Demetrious Smith 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jaylon Floyd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Kyle Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Derrius Nelson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Austin Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremiah Kelly * 28 5-12 1-5 4-5 3 6 1 0 1 15 12 -
Brandon Young * 25 7-14 3-8 2-3 4 5 1 0 1 19 14 -
Cleveland Melvin * 23 4-9 1-3 4-7 3 1 3 0 2 13 9 -
Krys Faber * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 0 2 11 -
Jamee Crockett * 15 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 10 8 -
Donnavan Kirk 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Charles McKinney 20 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 2 2 0 2 2 4 -
Worrel Clahar 18 2-7 0-1 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 5 2 -
Moses Morgan 15 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Edwind McGhee 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Derrell Robertson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Joe Belcaster 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter