Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 14-19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Tarik Black * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Barton | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wesley Witherspoon | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Stan Simpson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Henderson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Smith * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Siva * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Buckles * | 13 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Smith | 25 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| C. Behanan | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Ware | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Justice | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter