Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +39 (84-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Powell * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DaMetrius Upchurch * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marc Hill * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nic Simpson * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Lawrence Smith * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Witter | 24 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Underwood | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -5 | - |
| Jean Louisme | 18 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| R.J. Buck | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Estes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Shepherd | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jared Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Waylan Siverand | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Holt * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| M. Dellavedova * | 28 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Jones * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | - |
| C. Steindl * | 25 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Rowley * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Page | 26 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Walker II | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Waldow | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Young | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. Levesque | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| E. Petrulis | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Sanchez | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter