Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harberts | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Marinacci | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Gemelos | 0 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Corral | 0 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Butler | 0 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morrill | 0 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| N. Hurst | 0 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| A. Olvera | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Watson | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Q. McDowell | 0 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
* = starter