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2011-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -14 (45-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Jones * 36 8-13 3-5 7-9 4 2 1 1 3 26 18 -
George Valentine * 36 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 2 4 2 1 12 18 -
Reggie Middleton * 33 3-8 1-3 7-10 4 7 0 0 4 14 13 -
James Bourne * 25 1-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Andre Smith * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 -
Joab Jerome 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
Matt Morgan 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Gideon Gamble 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Shola Diop 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Powell * 36 1-5 0-2 1-2 6 4 2 0 2 3 8 -
G. Powell * 32 8-15 0-0 0-3 13 0 0 4 3 16 15 -
K. McDougald * 28 1-10 0-4 2-4 5 2 1 0 2 4 0 -
D. Graham * 25 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 3 2 2 -
C. Davis * 20 0-3 0-2 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
T. Galvin 26 2-8 1-3 1-3 3 3 2 0 3 6 3 -
A. Cabell 21 3-5 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
S. Jeffers 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
E. Graham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter