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2011-12-14

Model Predictions

Model DePaul Blue Demons Northern Illinois Huskies Spread Result
Elo 81.8% 18.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.2% 21.8% - โœ“
Margin 90.5% 9.5% -12.4 โœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 81.4% 18.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -23 (52-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cleveland Melvin * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 19 24 -
Jeremiah Kelly * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 15 23 -
Brandon Young * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 4 0 1 16 29 -
Krys Faber * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 7 -
Jamee Crockett * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Moses Morgan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 11 15 -
Charles McKinney 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 7 -
Worrel Clahar 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 6 10 -
Derrell Robertson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
Donnavan Kirk 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Toler * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 4 18 27 -
Zach Miller * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 2 8 -
K. Gray * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
Aksel Bolin * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 7 -
Antone Christian * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 5 9 -
Marquavese Ford 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Abdel Nader 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
Tony Nixon 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 5 8 -
K. Gray 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 1 2 -
Tyler Storm 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Stian Berg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jeremiah Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter