๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-12-14

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% - โœ—
Margin 68.5% 31.5% -4.3 โœ— (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 79.3% 20.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—

Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (52-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Augustus Gilchrist * 37 5-10 0-2 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 10 3 -
Anthony Collins * 34 2-4 1-2 2-4 2 2 3 1 5 7 6 -
Hugh Robertson * 29 1-3 0-1 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 4 12 -
Toarlyn Fitzpatrick * 24 2-8 0-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 4 6 -1 -
Shaun Noriega * 24 1-5 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
Victor Rudd 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -4 -
Blake Nash 16 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
Ron Anderson 14 0-1 0-0 0-5 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Denson * 34 5-9 0-2 2-3 3 0 3 1 0 12 10 -
Kenny Gabriel * 25 2-7 1-2 2-2 8 1 3 2 1 7 13 -
Rob Chubb * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 5 6 6 -
Josh Wallace * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
Allen Payne * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Varez Ward 32 2-10 1-6 6-7 6 2 0 0 3 11 6 -
Frankie Sullivan 27 4-8 1-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Adrian Forbes 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Willy Kouassi 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 -

* = starter