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2011-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.J. Griffin * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 8 12 -
J. Trotter * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 6 11 -
J. Brooks * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 0 6 -
D. Rufful * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 15 17 -
G. Maldunas * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
J. Golden 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 4 11 16 -
M. LaBove 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
M. McKearney 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
K. Crecco 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
T. Melville 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 2 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonny Marlin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 2 8 -
Trey McCorkle * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 11 19 -
Frank Gaines * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 21 23 -
John Peckinpaugh * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 9 -
Jason Smeathers * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 3 4 -
Joseph Edwards 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
Isaiah McCray 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 1 4 -
Demario Hines 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 2 9 -
Michael Kibiloski 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter