Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Powell * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nic Simpson * | 24 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Marc Hill * | 24 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| DaMetrius Upchurch * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lawrence Smith * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Austin Witter | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R.J. Buck | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| K. Shepherd | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jean Louisme | 16 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Underwood | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 37 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 7-10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Jordan | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Rod Days | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter