Model Predictions
| Model | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Craig * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Ty Greene * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ricardo Glenn * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Mario Blessing * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chalmers Rogers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Rodgers | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Olumuyiwa | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jodd Maxey | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Carter Cook | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Fred Miller | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rob Elam | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Benson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Josh Parker | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter