Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +23 (76-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Dixon * | 37 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Yancy Gates * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Cashmere Wright * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaquon Parker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Mbodj | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelvin Gaines | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 39 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Justin Martin | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brad Redford | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Dee Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter