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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Valparaiso Beacons Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (1.9 off)
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thomas * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 1 14 25 -
J. Crawford * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 4 22 25 -
D. Brown * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 10 17 -
C. Black * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
A. Calhoun 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 2 25 33 -
T. Oglesby 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Sealey 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
L. Kraus 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 5 -
C. Orr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Erger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Broekhoff * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 4 1 2 20 35 -
M. Kenney * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 12 15 -
W. Bogan * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 4 10 -
K. Van Wijk * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 16 16 -
E. Buggs * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 4 8 -
J. Harris 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 20 25 -
R. Edwards 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
H. Vucic 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
T. Kurth 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter