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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Oakland Golden Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.0% 25.0% - โœ“
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“

Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 38 7-11 3-6 3-4 2 9 1 1 6 20 16 -
Evan Smotrycz * 33 7-8 4-5 2-4 9 1 2 0 2 20 22 -
Zack Novak * 30 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 8 0 0 1 5 15 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 29 6-13 5-9 4-7 2 2 0 0 4 21 8 -
Jordan Morgan * 27 4-6 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
Stu Douglass 19 4-7 2-4 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 13 9 -
Jon Horford 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Matt Vogrich 10 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Eso Akunne 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Blake McLimans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Travis Bader 39 4-10 3-6 3-4 5 0 1 1 1 14 10 -
Matt Poches 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Reggie Hamilton * 40 7-19 2-5 12-12 2 4 3 0 1 28 17 -
Travis Bader * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 14 20 -
Corey Petros * 39 5-6 0-0 2-5 8 2 0 0 2 12 14 -
Drew Valentine * 37 4-8 1-3 1-1 6 5 1 0 2 10 12 -
Dante Williams * 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Laval Lucas-Perry 34 5-12 2-6 2-4 2 1 1 0 4 14 2 -
Blake Cushingberry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter