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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 76.5% 23.5% - โœ—
Margin 76.4% 23.6% -6.4 โœ— (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rashad Savage * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 6 16 -
Tyrone White * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 17 23 -
Issiah Grayson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 5 12 18 -
Donald Johnson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 8 13 -
Zach Lamb * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 16 18 -
Stephon Carter 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 0 1 6 15 -
Adam Young 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Mo Hughley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Kwai Pearson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Robert Hayes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ivan Matip 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stallon Saldivar * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 4 16 24 -
James Douglas * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 22 24 -
Durrell Norman * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 4 0 0 5 18 -
Ephraim Ekanem * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 8 12 -
Colin Gruber * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 9 9 -
Gaellen Bewernick 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 10 16 -
Michael Dunn 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 7 11 -
Player #56194 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter