Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 11-13 | 4-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 27 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathis Keita | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mathis Monninghoff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Pangos * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| David Stockton | 22 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 5-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Sam Dower | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter