Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Allen * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Ashen Ward * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Kendrick Perry * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Josh Chojnacki | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Fletcher Larson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Perry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Filzen * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Mitchell Watt * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 36 | - |
| Dave Barnett * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Javon McCrea * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 41 | - |
| Jarod Oldham * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Tony Watson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Titus Robinson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Raphell Thomas-Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter