Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jarvis Garner * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Mark Rutledge * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Borden * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Williams * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Harks | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Robert Crawford | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dewan Clayborn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terry Tidwell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Henson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Finn * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 24 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 32 | - |
| M. Kirkland * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Hooten * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Griswold | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter