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Central Arkansas Bears 64
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 71
2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 ✓ (6.8 off)
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - ✗

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Miles * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 12 14 -
J. Garner * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 13 16 -
M. Rutledge * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 0 1 13 24 -
A. Borden * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 3 4 10 -
R. Williams * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
J. Harks 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
R. Crawford 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 5 -
D. Clayborn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Tidwell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
L. Brown 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Henson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Finn * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 3 10 15 -
E. Townsel * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 4 0 5 15 24 -
B. Peterson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 1 1 19 32 -
M. Kirkland * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 10 14 -
M. Hooten * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 8 6 -
A. Sterrenberg 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
D. Griswold 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 5 12 -
R. Dickerson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter