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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% - โœ“
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 โœ“ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -17 (48-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Sollazzo * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 0 3 23 36 -
Jarvis Jones * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 8 12 -
Tommy Hubbard * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 3 13 -
Isiah Brown * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 16 27 -
Sheldon Cooley * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Marcus Dubose 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Lukas Poderis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 8 14 -
J.C. Ward 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Williamson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 3 0 4 14 -
Jamaal Trice * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 12 12 -
Isaac Butts * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Omar Carter * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 4 8 -
G.J. Vilarino * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
R. Milum 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 12 11 -
Michael Neal 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 6 2 6 -
Brian Okam 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 12 -
Tab Hamilton 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Mitch Woods 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
Nathan Healy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter