Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +38 (106-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Will Weathers * | 32 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R.J. Scott * | 23 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daronte Clark * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Alan Jones | 22 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Justin Wright | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nic Combs | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Feldman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 33 | 9-16 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 31 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 22 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Deville Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Charles Parker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Taylor Luczak | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Baxter Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reed Clayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter