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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stanback * 36 5-9 2-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 3 16 8 -
O. Bellfield * 34 3-12 1-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 7 0 -
A. Marshall * 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Moser * 27 2-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 4 4 5 -
B. Massamba * 27 1-1 0-0 3-6 3 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
J. Hawkins 25 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 5 3 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 13 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 1 9 7 -
K. Wallace 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 39 0-10 0-6 4-5 1 6 1 0 3 4 -1 -
J. Gasser * 38 2-5 1-2 1-3 8 1 2 0 1 6 11 -
M. Bruesewitz * 30 3-9 0-4 0-0 10 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
R. Evans * 28 2-9 0-1 3-6 9 3 2 0 2 7 10 -
J. Berggren * 23 3-7 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
B. Brust 26 8-9 7-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 25 16 -
F. Kaminsky 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
E. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wilson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter