Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +34 (86-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rios * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| John Bowman * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Travis Jones | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Vonn Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Luke Mergerson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dante Bachus | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gordon Ball | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Basil Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Dade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myck Kabongo * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| J'Covan Brown * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Julien Lewis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Holmes * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| S. Mac | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Jaylen Bond | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Gibbs | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dean Melchionni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Dick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter