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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Miami (OH) Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ— (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—

Actual: Miami (OH) Redhawks -2 (49-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Mays * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 6 8 9 -
Reggie Arceneaux * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 4 0 2 8 13 -
Vance Hall * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -
A.J. Pacher * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 2 7 15 -
Armond Battle * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 3 5 9 -
Cole Darling 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 13 20 -
John Balwigaire 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Johann Mpondo 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 9 -
Tavares Sledge 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Kendall Griffin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
Matt Vest 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Miami (OH) Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Sullivan * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 7 8 -
Julian Mavunga * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 0 0 0 6 19 29 -
Quinten Rollins * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 3 1 4 7 17 -
Josh Sewell * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 6 9 -
Vince Legarza * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jon Harris 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 15 -
Bill Edwards 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
Brian Sullivan 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 1 -
Drew McGhee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Adam Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter